Renew/Cancel Odds for TV Shows Still on the Bubble

by Jason Dietz, Metacritic Features Editor – March 10, 2016

We are now two months away from TV's upfronts, when the broadcast networks announce their schedules for next season—and, with them, the final fates of all of their current programs. At this point, ABC is alone among the major networks in announcing renewals for the bulk of its current slate, while NBC has renewed a handful of programs. Many shows on the other networks (and even a few on ABC and NBC) remain on the bubble.

To determine which of those shows look safe, and which are in danger of cancellation, we have surveyed a variety of experts. Below, browse the resulting renew/cancel odds for 40 scripted shows still on the bubble (listed in alphabetical order).

21 of 42 photo by Kevin Estrada/FOX

tbd The Last Man on Earth: Season 2

A nearly three-month hiatus seems to have done the second-year Will Forte comedy no favors. Viewership had been ticking upward at the end of 2015, but (like Jason Sudeikis' Mike Miller) headed back down to earth in last Sunday's return, with a 17% drop compared to the fall finale. Further declines could jeopardize the renewal hopes for a show that currently rates near the middle of the pack for the network.